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2024-12-14 12:40:22

Generally speaking, I will pay attention to one point today. Let's see if we can stand at 3489.78 points at the close. If we stand up, it will be dangerous, and the daily line will have a double deviation structure! If you can't stand up, then the small high point suppression still exists here, and the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust the structure with great probability! Just remember one thing, don't chase after short-term gains!Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:


December 13th Morning Post: Heavy landing, be careful to cash in the risks!Let's briefly talk about yesterday's personal pension and heavy meeting that exceeded expectations, as well as the impact on A shares. Of course, it is purely personal and for reference only!First of all, personal pension is also a long-term positive, but the short-term stock of funds is limited. With more and more people participating, the scale of funds will expand accordingly, and the high probability will become a big boost for A shares. After all, this batch of funds is difficult to withdraw, and it is also a typical long-term fund.


Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.2, the issuance of ultra long-term construction bonds, increase the use of local special bonds. This has always been a good hand at pulling GDP, and it is good for infrastructure and new quality productivity.

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